úterý 21. dubna 2009

Energy war under cover of worldwide crisis

The title sounds heavily, especialy when you look at latest European weather forecast and unusualy hot spring in Central Europe, but I did not find any better expression for latest development on energy field in and around Central Europe. With Czech EU presidency closing in shame and disgust, Poles are again rising their voice about energy security with fresh support from Finland. Finnish President Tarja Halonen refused to give at meeting with her Russian counterpart a blind cheque on Nord Stream pipeline project. Dmitry Medvedev also offered to G8, G20 and selected neighbour partners offer of new scheme of energy cooperation, which is - according to the first reports - going against European Energy charter, basic EU document which is kind of a counterweight of the interest of Russian Gazprom.
Russia has problems with its southern pipeline, South Stream, due to crisis there is lack of resources and also politicial support is waining in allied states (especialy resignation of Hungarian Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany was blow to Russian plans). Meanwhile, there is stronger push with northern pipe. Gazprom and its German partner are seeking (after Netherlanders) French company GDF Suez to get involved in Nord Stream and bypass Central Europe and Ukraine completely.
The only obstacle (beside unclear financing of project, which is getting more expensive almost every minute) is study on environmental impact of Nord Stream in Baltic Sea. This is argument used by Swedes and Finns and it is pushing Russians to threats that they will abolish Nord Stream at all and they will build liquefaction plants for LNG.
Moscow knows very well how to play against internal divisons in the EU on energy field. Russian companies are even at times of crisis intensifying their efforts to get to downstream, as close to European customer as possible. Surgutneftegaz, company close to Kremlin, used fragile political situation in Hungary to get 21 % of Hungarian giant MOL. There are talks that Lukoil is searching for refinery capacities through acquiring shares in Polish PKN Orlen and here in Prague there is almost no week when we in media would not get invitation to concert or reception sponsored by any Russian energy company.
EU was able to answer only with deal signed with Ukraine to overhaul Ukrainian pipeline system. This deal angered Kremlin quite a lot, but it is not that kind of united response on energy field Brussels should produce. Let's see what will Eastern partnership summit and EU-Russia summit bring.
Simply, in words of one Czech top diplomat: "They are very professional, very well prepared and if EU would not unite on approach towards Russia, there are going to be very tough times in dealing with Russia on energy (and any other) issue."
We should not forget even at times of political turmoil (Czech case) or economic downturn (Hungaria, Baltics) in what kind of neighbourhood we are living.

Žádné komentáře: